The problem: too much debt.
Our solution: less debt.
Yet the Fed and ECB continue to fight fire with more fire. That is, they’re fighting a private balance sheet recession (read: too much debt on the balance sheet) with a public balance sheet explosion (read: even more debt on the balance sheet).
For now, it seems to be working…
This chart shows how the S&P500 goes higher when the Fed and ECB expand their balance sheets… and how the market drops when central banks don’t stimulate.
Don’t be fooled.
The private sector took on as much debt as it possibly could through 2007 (pushing the markets higher)… then it stopped. Now, the Fed and ECB are taking on as much debt as they possibly can so the music doesn’t stop. The problem is, eventually, central banks too must stop amassing debt. They too will need to deleverage.
But today, central bank stimulus is the only game in town and it’s keeping the wheels on… for now.
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If “buy-and-hold” and the notion that you can’t beat the market have left you short of your personal and retirement goals, then you’re going to want to hear the truth about passive and active investing.
Chances are, if you’re more than 25 years old, you think it’s impossible to “beat the market!”
But today, there is MORE than ample evidence that proves:
- The stock market is NOT perfectly efficient
- Passive investing can be MORE risky than active investing
You CAN beat the market… you just need to use the right strategy!