Become a Switch-Hitter in 2014

While many investments shot higher in 2013, most commodity markets dropped like a rock. The PowerShares DB Commodity Index Tracking ETF (ARCX: DBC) lost 8% in 2013, another 3% in the first week of January, and is now trading at a 20-month low.

This should not have caught you off guard. We’ve been trumpeting warnings about the strongly bearish trends in commodity markets ever since the 2011 peak. And subscribers to our flagship newsletter, Boom & Bust, and my VIP investment service, Cycle 9 Alert, were not only warned of the downward spiral in commodity prices… they were shown ways to profit from the downturn.

Playing the short side of markets – by making bearish bets via short sales and put options – is a great way to hedge a portfolio of bullish positions, ideally smoothing out your portfolio’s equity curve during turbulent times. What’s more, an investment strategy that relies on short positions is vital during downturns and secular bear markets.

In baseball, switch-hitters have an advantage over purely right-handed or purely left-handed batters. They’re able to bat left-handed against right-handed pitchers and vice versa.

Basically, switch-hitters hold an advantage in their ability to be flexible and adapt. Investors should take a cue from this.

Just as stock buyers are prone to “buy dips,” playing the short side of markets requires learning how to “sell rallies.” Of course, selling short-term rallies is typically only profitable when the longer-term trend is bearish.

Take Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE: SCCO) as an example of this technique in action. Here’s a chart of SCCO going back to the start of 2013:

See larger image

I don’t talk about it often, but I have an algorithmic indicator that mathematically predicts cyclical peaks (which I’ve marked with pink and red dotted lines above), providing a timely warning of declining prices.

As you can see, these cyclical peaks work very well in identifying exactly when to make a bearish bet, essentially selling into short-term rallies.

I’ve recommended betting against Southern Copper in both Boom & Bust (May 2013) and in Cycle 9 Alert (September 2013). Both recommendations were precisely timed to take advantage of short-term cyclical peaks (within a longer-term bearish trend).

And these positions have done well for us. The short position in the SCCO stock held in our Boom & Bust portfolio is holding on to an open gain of 16%. And Cycle 9 Alert subscribers have already locked in gains of 38% and 82% by executing a very simple bearish options strategy.

So, if you’re naturally inclined to buying dips and can only see the markets from one side of the field (the long side), consider what you may be missing in not maintaining the flexibility of a switch-hitter.

And if you’re interested in some batting practice with an experienced, hands-on coach… click here to learn how Cycle 9 Alert fits into your grand investment plan.

What Killed the Middle Class?

Our middle class has been shrinking substantially since the 1960s and ’70s. Today, their share of wealth is the lowest in the world!

Much of the blame is placed squarely on the shoulders of the cheap Chinese manufacturing jobs and the flood of illegal immigrants into the U.S. workforce.

But what’s the real reason?

In our latest infographic, What Killed the Middle Class? we take a look at some of the most shocking numbers showing how bad it’s really become, exactly what’s been fueling this middle-class revolt and the dangers that lie ahead.

 

Click to Learn More
Categories: Investing

About Author

Adam O'Dell has one purpose in mind: to find and bring to subscribers investment opportunities that return the maximum profit with the minimum risk. Adam has worked as a Prop Trader for a spot Forex firm. While there, he learned the fundamentals of trading in the world’s largest market. He excelled at trading the volatile currency markets by seeking out low-risk entry points for trades with high profit potential. An MBA graduate and Affiliate Member of the Market Technicians Association, Adam is a lifelong student of the markets. He is editor of our hugely successful trading service, Cycle 9 Alert.