As seen on

PBS
Good Morning America ABC
CBBC
CNN
FOX News
FOX Business
Home Economy Demographic Trends

Demographic Trends

Demographic Trends

Harry Dent and his team share a unique perspective on finance, using the power of demographic trends and purchasing power to accurately identify and forecast economic and market boom and busts.

Knowing what consumers are going to buy next (purchasing power) or what they will stop buying soon is the most critical tool to forecast what is to come. This is the best way to protect one’s investment portfolio, maximize returns, and make smart business and financial decisions.

While most economists focus on short-term trends, policy changes, technical indicators, elections – things that are volatile and unstable – the Dent Research team focuses their research on long-term demographic trends and cycles.t should

This includes generational trends, human behavior patterns, spending cycles and more. All, elements of demographics that have demonstrated themselves over hundreds (even thousands) of years to be consistent, predictable and measurable.

Demographic trends help determine the timing many key economic factors. When is the economy going to boom and bust? When do we have inflation, falling inflation or even deflation? These things help us focus on more specific predictable consumer spending patterns.

With this research, we learn when consumers are going to spend, from cradle to grave, and when they will invest, borrow and everything in between.

Many markets are directly influenced by shifts in demographics and the corresponding changes in spending cycles. These are changes we see play out right before our eyes.

From a spending perspective, this includes the decline of the baby boomers. The once, largest generation in history peaked in spending in 2007, sending shockwaves through industries across the board.

When does the average family buy the most groceries in their whole life cycle? Trends in demographics tells us age 42. Why is that? The average parent has their kid at age 28 and it is medically proven that the average child’s calorie cycle peaks at age 14. Add those ages together to find out when a generation of parents will be spending the most, on food for the family.

Besides groceries, when do people spend money on childcare, homes, cars, healthcare facilities, life insurance and cruise ships? We can predict just like a life insurance actuator when the average person is going to die. We can predict everything in from crib to nursing homes.

We also look at the demographics of technology. When do we adopt new technologies? New technologies are what make us more productive workers, raise our incomes and our wealth over time.

This research helps us determine where and when we should invest for our kids’ education and for our retirement. We don’t just invest in one area of the economy because what’s growing is always changing and demographics allow us to predict that.

Where are the most lucrative jobs at any time in the economy cycle for your kids or for you? Where should you expand your business and where should you not? Why did they build schools when baby boomers were out of the school system?

Learn more about how people drive our economy’s booms and busts and how you can use the demographic research on Economy and Markets to predict what the markets will do next.

He Was Right…

Mainstream Media may criticize him. But he was right about many things over the years. Of course, when navigating the economy and markets, it’s impossible to be right every time. Yet his track record over the years for predictions that matter is...

Twisting the Constitution Hurts Us All

I’m not a fan of small spaces, and MRIs give me the willies. I understand that there’s no way the giant machine could collapse, and no possibility that I’ll run low on air, but that doesn’t make me feel any...

Trump’s Trade Wars Will Hurt His Supporters

There’s ideology. And then there’s reality and outcomes. Unfortunately, the trade war overtures in the name of fairer competition, disfavors jobs in the red states far more than in the blue ones. In Thursday’s issue, I looked at how curbing immigration is...

The Clamp Down on Immigration

There was a great article in Bloomberg Opinion by Noah Smith. It starts off reminding us that we’re doing similar things now as we were in the late 1920s, before the 1929 crash and Great Depression. During a major bubble, the...

Our IES Is All About That

We are living through the greatest economic experiment in history. How long can the economy go while avoiding recessions through massive, non-stop money creation and infusion into the economy? And when will the side effects of such an economy be seen? By...

Tech and Sun Belt Dominate

Many studies focus on whole states for GDP and job growth, but I prefer looking at the cities people actually live in, which can be quite different from other parts of states. That’s where it really happens. Here’s a ranking of...

Another Drawback to the Housing Bubble

I’ve been ranting for weeks now about it… People don’t understand that sky-high home prices are bad for countries, cities, businesses, and consumers. And only the 62% of people who already own homes are feeling the “bliss” of the bubble....

Why Puerto Rico? Let Me Explain…

I moved to Puerto Rico in mid-2016. Not for the tax advantages (at first), but to be closer to my vacation house on Culebra (a Puerto Rican Virgin Island) and to have a high-end beach-front lifestyle for one quarter the...

Escalations in America

The markets keep reacting to the escalations in trade tensions. People keep reacting to the no-tolerance policies on immigration, separating children from their parents. Though this policy was finally reversed by Trump, there are still many issues… Our politics are so charged with ideological differences that there’s...