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Business Cycle

A Hard Look at the Economy’s Health

The markets were down sharply earlier today thanks in part to oil. A barrel of oil today costs around $32. That’s up slightly from the mid-$20s last month, but still

Business Cycle

The Deadly Truth About the Great Boom and This “Recovery”

A Yahoo Finance headline this morning reads: “Unhappy New Year: The U.S. Economy Is Stalling Out.” We recently learned that existing home sales in November crashed 10.5% from the month

Business Cycle

Retail Sales Over Black Friday Weekend Were a Bust

Thanksgiving Day, Black Friday, and Cyber Monday for 2015 are all history, and if recent reports are correct, they each were disappointing when it came to commerce. We, as consumers,

Business Cycle

This Car Company Gave Its Customers the Ultimate Insult

Ten years ago an airline ran a television ad showing weary business travelers, asking the question: “Why do they do it?” Eventually one of the travelers looks up and says:

Business Cycle

The Ultimate Global Collapse Indicator

“Prices have reached The Promised Land. I can’t imagine it going much higher though. Can you?” Those are the words of art collector Eli Broad, who was quoted in a

Business Cycle

Grab a Cold One: The Business Cycle Is Winding Down

From April through October, I race a 37-foot sailboat every Thursday night. The course changes weekly, and ranges from three to seven miles long, depending on the wind. Before the

Business Cycle

2016: What Analysts Don’t See Coming

Stocks soar as sales and earnings slow. You tell me – how long can that last? S&P 500 companies continue to report third quarter earnings. And it looks as though

Business Cycle

What Politicians Don’t Understand About the Economy

If you want to see the future, it’s important to understand and plot out proven cycles. You can’t listen to some politician that thinks he or she has a vision.

Business Cycle

We’re Flirting With Another Recession

After a brief reprieve during the summer, the U.S. economy is once again in danger of falling into a recession. It’s about to get ugly.

Business Cycle

Biotech and Pharmaceuticals: The Next Boom to Go Bust!

Biotech has boomed too long, too far, and it’s due for the bust-side of its boom-to-bust mean reversion cycle.