If the market does rally into year end, the question becomes: when do we get in?

The current sell-off has likely shaken the confidence of many weak hands. But a look at recent history shows us we may soon have a good buying opportunity. During long-term uptrends the Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) provides a useful tool in knowing when to “buy a dip.”

Here’s a chart of the S&P500 futures going back to 2010.

See image larger

As you can see, in the past three years, the RSI has given three buy signals on the S&P500. The strategy is simple. Buy when the RSI hits “oversold” territory (green on lower chart), then sell when it moves to “overbought” (red).

These three trades alone netted 15%, 14% and 9% winners. Trading just one futures contract on the S&P500 (which requires about $5,000 in margin) would have turned a total profit of a little more than $20,800.

I’m talking about this now because we may soon have another RSI buying opportunity. If you look at the RSI subgraph you’ll see the current sell-off has brought the indicator’s value down below 40. If it moves below 30, I’ll have good reason to believe the sell-off is over and prices should turn higher just as they have the past three times the RSI hit this level.

We should know more next week – stay tuned.

If you haven’t done so already read the Survive & Prosper issue on “November 6 Will Make NO Difference: Stock Bubble Crash is Cominged”



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Adam O'Dell
Adam O'Dell has one purpose in mind: to find and bring to subscribers investment opportunities that return the maximum profit with the minimum risk. Adam has worked as a Prop Trader for a spot Forex firm. While there, he learned the fundamentals of trading in the world’s largest market. He excelled at trading the volatile currency markets by seeking out low-risk entry points for trades with high profit potential. An MBA graduate and Affiliate Member of the Market Technicians Association, Adam is a lifelong student of the markets. He is editor of our hugely successful trading service, Cycle 9 Alert.