The future of any country is its young adults. Those in their early to mid-20s, who’ve just entered the workforce and will become more and more productive as they age into their 40s and beyond.

It’s these guys who create the radical new innovations and consumer trends. They’re the workers of the future who’ll support retiring households. They’re the ones who will have kids and create future demographic growth. They’ll buy houses, cars, furniture and everything else, spending more until they are 46 or 47 years old.

At least that’s how it should be.

Unfortunately, that’s not what’s happening…

The Echo Boom generation is not seeing the job opportunities and stable geopolitical environment their parents did when they first entered the workforce in the late 1950s / 1960s.


Instead, this younger group has witnessed 9/11 and rising warfare, terrorism and civil unrest around the world. They’ve lived through the greatest financial crisis since the Great Depression. And now they’re suffering unbearably high unemployment rates.

Look at the chart below. It shows youth unemployment rates compared to overall rates world wide.

See larger image

As you can see, youth unemployment is generally about twice the overall unemployment rate. And the highest rates are where you would expect them… in southern Europe.

Youth unemployment in Greece sits at 55%. In Spain its at 53%. In Portugal, 38%. And in Italy, 35%.

That is unbelievable.

Even more unbelievable is that these unemployed youth are not rioting in the streets more frequently.

The numbers in France are also high, at 24%, with Ireland at 30% and the U.K. at 21%.

These statistics show how really weak most of Europe is.

Youth unemployment in the U.S. is at 16% and in Canada it’s at 14%. That’s only a fraction of what the euro zone guys are dealing with, but it’s still unacceptably high.

And Australia is higher than I would have expected with youth unemployment at 12%. Even major emerging countries have high youth unemployment with Turkey at 18%, Russia at 15% and Brazil at 13%.

Now, there are two major reasons for this trend:

1) The world economy is slowing but southern Europe is slowing harder and faster than anywhere else.

2) The Baby Boom generation is choosing to stay in the workforce longer, given the slowing economy and their paltry savings that were decimated in 2008. And now they can’t get any return on fixed-income investments so they’re moving to higher risk investments again… a move that will backfire on them again, likely between 2014 and 2016.

What does this do to this new generation?

On the negative side many young adults are not working and growing their skills. This will put them behind in the future and is likely to crimp overall productivity for years to come.

Second, many will emigrate out of the weakest economies, those with the poorest demographic trends (like southern Europe). That will only worsen those countries’ demographic trends.

But there is a bright side in all this.

The Bob Hope Generation faced a similar fate in its “coming of age” period. It saw the Great Depression and then World War II. But those challenges made that generation harder-working, more savings-oriented and more civic-minded… the opposite of the Baby Boomers who grew up in a great economy and saw no major wars until Vietnam.

The next decade only promises even higher unemployment and youth unemployment rates for Echo Boomers around the world. Will they rebel against this and against ever-rising government debts and entitlements? Will there be a generational war ahead?

Time will tell, but a decade from now, when the next global boom begins, the youth of today will be the hard workers of tomorrow sobered by a very difficult decade and no longer the “spoiled kids” of Baby Boomers as they are viewed today. Even more importantly, they’ll be the innovators and entrepreneurs countries like the U.S., Canada, Singapore, Australia and New Zealand need.


Follow me on Twitter @HarryDentjr


Ahead of the Curve

Under-worked, Underpaid

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Harry Dent
Harry S. Dent Jr. studied economics in college in the ’70s, but found it vague and inconclusive. He became so disillusioned by the state of his chosen profession that he turned his back on it. Instead, he threw himself into the burgeoning new science of finance where identifying and studying demographic, technological, consumer and many, many other trends empowered him to forecast economic changes. Since then, he’s spoken to executives, financial advisors and investors around the world. He’s appeared on “Good Morning America,” PBS, CNBC and CNN/Fox News. He’s been featured in Barron’s, Investor’s Business Daily, Entrepreneur, Fortune, Success, U.S. News and World Report, Business Week, The Wall Street Journal, American Demographics and Omni. He is a regular guest on Fox Business’s “America’s Nightly Scorecard.” In his latest book, Zero Hour: Turn the Greatest Political and Financial Upheaval in Modern History to Your Advantage, Harry Dent reveals why the greatest social, economic, and political upheaval since the American Revolution is on our doorstep. Discover how its combined effects could cause stocks to crash as much as 80% beginning just weeks from now…crippling your wealth now and for the rest of your life. Harry arms you with the tools you need to financially prepare and survive as the world we know is turned upside down! Today, he uses the research he developed from years of hands-on business experience to offer readers a positive, easy-to-understand view of the economic future by heading up Dent Research, in his flagship newsletter, Boom & Bust.