What if I told you that I’ve discovered the best trading system by conducting thorough market research — collecting and analyzing the track records of 38 popular trading systems?
What if I told you that this system is Dent Research’s very own Cycle 9 Alert, by Adam O’Dell?
I know, I know. It all sounds a bit too coincidental. But stick with me here.
I’m a skeptical guy. I’m always verifying everything by looking them up on my device or computer, hence why I’m a strong proponent of market research — well, research in general. I don’t just believe the things I hear. I have to see the proof for myself.
So when I set out collecting the data on all of the trading services I could find, I really didn’t know what to expect.
I know Adam O’Dell has impressive results, a very sound methodology, and like me, conducts endless amounts of research, specifically market research, to always perfect his craft — but I was still unsure how his service would stack up against the others.
Now, after weeks of research and analysis, I’m convinced that Cycle 9 is the best service out there. And I believe the research I did is a dream-come-true for investors. I know that sounds arrogant, but I don’t intend it to be.
One of the great things about this project was that it forced me to play both customer and researcher. And being the customer may have been the hardest part of the whole project.
It’s so hard for a consumer to find out which system, of the hundreds they’re bombarded with, is best. (Where are you supposed to look? What are you supposed to look for exactly? This is where it can get tricky.) And it takes months to get familiar with any trading system they do settle on.
The problem is, it isn’t just time wasted on thousands of pages of market research, and it isn’t like trying out a new pair of flip flops. Your hard-earned money is at stake.
So here’s what I found…
Market Research Means Digging Deep
In order to begin my analysis, I needed data. I needed track records of all the trading services I could get my hands on.
It may not be a surprise to many of you, but I was very surprised to find how difficult it was to get that data from some of the companies!
Eight services flat out refused to provide me with track record data without me first subscribing to their product. These often involved maddening interactions with customer service over the phone and by email.
In one case, the idea of keeping a complete, updated track record on hand to distribute seemed like an alien concept — about as alien as running an honest operation.
As a customer, if a track record is hard to obtain, you aren’t worth my time (you can view Cycle 9’s track record here).
Luckily, the majority of the companies were able to provide me with complete information for me to analyze. In some cases, it only took a handful of emails saying I was waiting to pull the trigger on my purchase and all I needed was a track record to confirm my belief that the service was amazing! In other cases, services made lengthy track records readily available on their websites.
I wanted to find as broad a range of services as I could, so my final list of 40 was a diversified mix. Some traded options, some traded stocks, and some did both.
Also, the services had a variety of specialties, such as technology, penny stocks, various commodities, like oil and precious metals, ETFs, and even a couple that traded the weather.
To provide a fair, apples-to-apples comparison of Cycle 9 Alert to all the other trading programs, I developed three rules for my market research. The primary rule was: to qualify for analysis, trades had to open and close in the 2013 calendar year. After all, a year with a service is the typical subscriber experience and I wanted to replicate that.
Secondly, in assessing win rates, a trade had to net more than 0%. In other words, it actually had to have made money. This may sound silly, but there were a surprisingly large number of trades in my data set that were reported as netting 0%. Classifying them became a necessity.
Finally, partial-position trades were to be counted as individual trades for two reasons: there was real money being made or lost on those trades and using partial trades broadened the data set, allowing for more accurate reporting.
Once each trade satisfied all of the rules, I regarded them as a qualifying trade and included them in my analysis. If a trade didn’t qualify, I simply disregarded it.
Incredibly, not only did many trades get disqualified, but entire trading systems were disqualified as well.
Market Research Separates Cycle 9 Alert From the Rest
Including Cycle 9 Alert, I analyzed 38 trading systems, 13 of which couldn’t satisfy the simple rules above. What that means is that these systems didn’t post a single closing trade during all of 2013! Meanwhile, subscribers were left with very few actionable trades. The trades they did make were unlikely to close anytime soon.
What happens if those few trades go south? Is there another one around the corner to make up your loss?
Not likely. Because these trades stayed open so long, subscribers ended up with a situation where they were unable to take profit on their gains, while getting bombarded with daily emails about how profitable the service is.
That those trades being touted were initiated long before you became a subscriber and have still yet to close is no matter. Not to the service provider anyway. They get to claim the profit and you don’t. And, of course, they’re happy to take subscribers’ money all year.
Now let’s contrast this to Adam’s Cycle 9 Alert…
In my period of study, Adam had over 20 trades open and close. That’s a frequency sweet spot that investors like.
Too many trades can be overwhelming, and Adam is clear that Cycle 9 Alert is not a day-trading service. Too few trades, and subscribers miss out on gains. So Adam finds a comfortable middle ground that promotes profit maximization and stress-free trading.
That’s great, but what matters most is how much money these services make you. This is where Cycle 9 Alert shines…
Market Research Always Wins…
I looked at the win rate (defined earlier) and the average return per closed trade (yes, including the negative trades). Out of 25 qualifying services, Cycle 9 Alert finished second in average return per trade, at 40.54%. In terms of win rate, Cycle 9 finished fifth, at 77.3%.
OK so second and fifth, but I still say Cycle 9 Alert is the best choice, and I think you’ll agree with me after I provide some context about the services that Cycle 9 “lost” to.
Let’s look at that fifth place finish in win rate first…
The services that placed second, third and fourth all had significantly lower return averages. One service had a 96% win rate for a paltry return average of just over 1%. That sounds like a waste of time and subscription fees to me. I’d take Cycle 9 Alert’s 40.54% return instead.
The top scoring service had impressive stats, with a 100% win rate and a stunning 163% return average. But it only had four qualifying trades. Just four!
As a researcher, that screams “crappy sample size.” In no way can I expect a repeat of that performance. There just aren’t enough data points.
On the other hand, Cycle 9 Alert has far more data to draw upon because as I mentioned earlier, Adam is a firm believer in thorough, day-to-day market research to perfect his craft, providing me with more confidence in future performance.
All of which is why I firmly believe that, while Adam’s service didn’t take the number one spot on my final results spread sheet, it’s the best trading service out there. This coming from me says a lot.
You should consider trying it out. You can do so at no cost, and risk free for three months. Seriously, what have you got to lose?
P.S. If you do decide to put Cycle 9 Alert to a personal test, it’s your lucky day. For a limited time, the publisher has steeply discounted the subscription cost. I’m talking 56% off the normal price. That’s more than half! Based on what my research revealed about this industry and Cycle 9, I’d suggest you take a look for yourself.